PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL

CONSOLIDATED COMMUNICATIONS, INC.

To: Conrad Fink

From: DeShaun Maria Harris

Subj: Athens Banner-Herald, Second Report, Competition        Executive Summary

Date: Oct. 24, 2007

        In my research of the Banner-Herald’s competition, I found that the Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Flagpole Magazine and The Red & Black are its current main concerns. All three of these compete with the publication for readership and ad dollars to some extent.

            In the next five years, however, I think that Flagpole Magazine will fall out of the top three most competitive positions. MainStreet Newspapers Inc. seems poised to take its place, as it owns multiple weeklies in the Athens Retail Trading Zone. As the population shifts away from the City Zone and into the surrounding counties, this situation will become more important.

            Overall, the Banner-Herald has a large number of competitors in several mediums. In my next report, I will let you know more about the Banner-Herald’s strengths and opportunities it can capitalize on by creating “disruptive innovation” in the market.

 

 

 

 

 

Banner-Herald Competition

Local Market Positioning Map

(Sampling of mass media entities that operate in the Athens-Clarke County retail trading zone)

Affluent Audience

 

Late Family /Retired Life Stage

 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


[Positioning Map] Data collected from personal observation of provided editorial and advertising materials

 

 

 

 

Daily Paid Newspapers (alphabetical order)

1.     Atlanta Journal-Constitution

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Daily

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Metro/General

                                                                      iii.      Newsstand Price/Subscription: $0.50/$134.99/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Cox Enterprises Inc.

b.      Analysis

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution is by far the Banner-Herald’s number one direct competitor for reader time. From an editorial standpoint, the Journal-Constitution offers superior reporting, more in-depth analysis on national issues, more national news coverage than the Banner-Herald and a daily business section. The only local coverage it may rival the Banner-Herald in is its college football (i.e. UGA Bulldogs) section. It competes most heavily with the hometown newspaper in the core of the City Zone and on the western fringe – which is the most geographically disconnected area from the other RTZ zip codes (see Competitive Zip Codes 1.1). In zip code 30609, south Athens, the Journal-Constitution has about 220 percent deeper household penetration than the Banner-Herald on any given day. This occurrence can probably be accounted for by the fact that the majority of residents in south Athens are college students, many of who come from the Atlanta market and do not participate in Athens civic life.

 “Most times I would rather hear about what’s going on in Atlanta,” said Ambre Reed, a junior University of Georgia student from Jonesboro, Ga. who lives in the 30609 zip code. “That’s my home. That’s where I go to have fun on the weekends when downtown (Athens) is slow and no one is having a house party or something. Up until last year I even went back home to vote.”

Nevertheless, the Journal-Constitution still cannot guarantee the majority of the most affluent readers in the Athens RTZ audience like the Banner-Herald can. The Banner-Herald claims that 81 percent of people who make $75,000 or more in the Athens RTZ are its readers, according to a 2004 Athens Market Study by Wilkerson & Associates.

From an advertising perspective, the two newspapers do not often directly compete. Most of the Banner-Herald’s advertising revenue is from local businesses that do not buy space in the Journal-Constitution. Until the Journal-Constitution can significantly beat the Banner-Herald in household penetration of the Athens RTZ, this will remain the case. On a national level, sometimes, is where the two publications contend. Jason Winders, editor of the Banner-Herald, said in an interview that some national advertisers fail to comprehend that Atlanta and Athens serve two distinct markets. He said that the advertising department has had to convince national corporations that there would not be audience duplicity if they ran ad campaigns with both his paper and the Journal-Constitution. For the most part, this assurance still seems to be a valid one.      

c.       Circulation/Household Penetration

Approx. Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Sun – 9,685; Mon-Fri – 7,869

(Approx. Paid Circulation figures, Audit Bureau of Circulations Sept. 30, 2006 Report)

 

Approx. Average Household Penetration in Athens RTZ*:

Sun – 30.28 percent; Mon-Fri – 29.54 percent

(Approx. Average Household Penetration, Audit Bureau of Circulations Sept. 30, 2006 Report)

*Note: These figures are skewed high because of the six most competitive zip codes unusually high   household penetration rates.

 

d.      Five-Year Outlook

Currently, there are no known plans for the Journal-Constitution to challenge directly the Banner-Herald’s market hold. In fact, the Atlanta newspaper is following the trend of a lot of metro dailies across the country and shrinking its market area back inside the core city – in this case, within the confines of Interstate 285 (see Interstate I-285 Map 1.2).

“There is increasingly localized coverage across the board. The new plan (after the recent editorial reorganization) is to only do one state edition in Athens. We stopped delivering everywhere – in South Georgia – and we’re not going after lost circulation,” said Andrea Jones, higher education staff reporter at the Journal-Constitution.

Despite the current calm, there is a real possibility that the Journal-Constitution could change direction and/or that the Banner-Herald’s most affluent readers who desire strong business coverage and regional news could shift their preference to the Journal-Constitution.

“Urban sprawl” has generated extraordinary population growth over the past 10 years in counties within and near the Athens RTZ (i.e. Jackson, Forsyth, Gwinnett, Hall and Barrow counties). The people moving into these fledgling suburban areas are some of the most affluent and well-educated individuals with professional jobs. They are who the advertisers demand. If the draw of these readers becomes too lucrative for the Journal-Constitution to ignore, based on its track record as an aggressive opponent – late 1980s New York Times Co. battle for Gwinnett County market – it will go after a significant share of the Banner-Herald’s current market and attempt to curtail any potential geographic expansion efforts.

Digitally, the Journal-Constitution is ahead of the Banner-Herald. Its model competition in this area is the Associated Press, Jones said. The Journal-Constitution’s website has a more graphically appealing layout and more multimedia integration (i.e. video, blogs, text messaging, podcasts) – especially since a structural reorganization that put digital production primary to print production. However, I doubt this trend will continue in the future. As familiarity with digital technology advances increase, most media outlets will have the capability to effectively compete on the new media platform. Also, Morris Digital Works – a corporate division of the Banner-Herald’s parent company – has recently implemented a superior company-wide online classified system that is being mirrored by other companies, said Donald W. Bailey, president of The Augusta Chronicle, a Morris Communications Inc. holding, in an interview. This system, along with other research and development creations should level the playing field in less than five years. I will discuss how the Banner-Herald can counteract this in a future report.

2.     USA Today

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Daily (5 days)

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: National/General

                                                                      iii.      Newsstand Price/Subscription: $0.75/$156/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Gannett Company Inc.

b.      Analysis

USA Today is not a major competitor in the Athens RTZ because it covers a wide array of national topics, content most Athens-area readers are not interested in on a daily basis. Positioned as a high-end full-color product for business travelers and generalists, it depends on single-copy sales and third-party sales (ex. hotel and airport contract agreements) – known as “Blue Chip” circulation – for the majority of its reader revenue (see USA Today Circulation 2.1). It is the number one national newspaper – the other two being the New York Times and the Wall Street Journal – with 44 percent market share, according to a March 2007 Audit Bureau of Circulation Publisher’s Statement. It also has in-depth sports coverage, a trademark of the publication, and cutting-edge graphics that explain its articles.

Little of this has bearing on its performance in the Athens market.

                                    Readers who are interested in local and hiper-local content do not turn to

USA Today and advertisers who want to reach a large share of the Athens RTZ would be ill-advised to do so, as evidenced by the circulation figures below.  

c.       Circulation/Household Penetration

Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Mon-Thu – 1,213; Fri – 1,400

(Approx. Paid Circulation figures, Audit Bureau of Circulations Dec. 25, 2005 Report)

 

Average Household Penetration in Athens RTZ:

Mon-Thu – 0.75 percent; Fri – 0.93 percent

(Approx. Average Household Penetration, Audit Bureau of Circulations Dec. 25, 2005 Report)

 

d.      Five-Year Outlook

In five years there will probably not be a significant change in USA Today’s editorial or advertising/marketing formulas. The print newspaper has maintained the same basic format since its inception in 1982 and it has proven lucrative thus far.

Weekly Paid Newspapers (alphabetical order)

1.     Commerce News

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Community/Town and County Government News

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: $0.50/$19.75/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: MainStreet Newspapers Inc.

b.      Circulation

Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Weekly – 3,500

(Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ figure, MainStreet Newspapers Inc. website)

 

2.     Jackson Herald

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Community/County-Wide News

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: $0.50/$19.75/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: MainStreet Newspapers Inc.

b.      Circulation

Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Weekly – 8,000

(Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ figure, MainStreet Newspaper Inc. website)

3.     Oconee Enterprise

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Community/General

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: $0.50/$19/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Vinnie and Maridee Williams

b.      Circulation

Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Weekly – n/a

 

4.     Madison County Journal

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Community/General

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: $0.50/$19.75/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: MainStreet Newspapers Inc.

b.      Circulation

Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Weekly – 3,500

(Paid Circulation in Athens RTZ figure, MainStreet Newspaper Inc. website)

 

      None of the weekly newspapers pose a serious threat to the Banner-Herald outside of their individual geographic markets and by themselves. Each newspaper’s coverage is hiper-local; headlines get down to a grocery store intersection traffic light repair. Most of the highlighted topics in these publications are ones that the Banner-Herald would not cover at all.

Though the Banner-Herald reaches a wider audience than any of these newspapers combined, for very small business owners, advertising in their local weekly may be the most efficient ad buy for the consumer they are trying to reach. Rates are cheaper, on average, for more exposure. For example, MainStreet Newspapers Inc. publications offer space on their online Community Pages for $78 a year, according to the parent company’s 2007 Rate Card.

Because of the population shift way from the Athens CZ and into the surrounding counties that complete the RTZ (see First Report, Market Analysis), the Banner-Herald still must be mindful of future competition possibilities – especially since one company, MainStreet Newspapers Inc., owns three of its competitors in this category. In five years, if the Banner-Herald has pushed further expansion and deeper household penetration in Jackson and Madison counties – which would be an economically-sound move – the weekly publishers may fight back and develop a strategy to retain their market share. I will discuss ways the Banner-Herald can preempt this real possibility in a future report.      

Free-Circulation Newspapers (alphabetical order)

1.     Mundo Hispánico

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Spanish-Language/ Metro and World

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free/ $100/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution; Cox Enterprises, Inc.

b.      Analysis

Mundo Hispánico does not yet pose a threat to capturing the Banner-Herald’s ideal demographic audience – traditional nuclear family with parents in their late 30s who each earn about $45,000 a year and have elementary school age children, in the stated opinion of Jeff Wilson, publisher of the Banner-Herald – but it does have a stronghold on Latino readers and consumers in zip codes with high multicultural population potential.

Mundo Hispánico distributes 995 copies per week in zip code 30606, west Athens, and 400 copies per week in zip code 30601, north Athens, according to its 2007 Media Kit. These distribution points are important because they are where most of the Latino population in Athens live and conduct business. Northwest Athens (zip code 30607), a mainly residential area of the city between the two distribution points is 22.2 percent Hispanic.

c.       Circulation

Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Weekly - 2001

(Circulation figure, Mundo Hispánico 2007 Media Kit)

 

d.      Five-Year Outlook

As of 2006, financial support for a publication targeted at this segment solely in the Athens RTZ (Mundo Hispánico is based in Atlanta) was not sufficient to sustain operations, as evidenced by the discontinuance of Eco Latino – the Banner-Herald’s appeal to this reader-base. However, within five years, there is a good chance that there will be enough readership and advertising to make a publication serving this niche audience more attractive because of the state growth in Latino population. When this happens, it would be in the Banner-Herald’s best interest to have a publication positioned to take advantage of the new market. In a future report, I will discuss a strategy for this.

2.     The Red & Black

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Daily (5 days) [semester]; Weekly [summer]

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Student/College and Local

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free/ $195/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: The Red and Black Publishing Company, Inc.

b.      Analysis

The Red & Black is the Banner-Herald’s main competitor for the youth market in the Athens RTZ. It is The University of Georgia’s student newspaper and primary source for articles covering college students, their interests and the university. The editorial quality is semi-professional at best. However, the Banner-Herald’s editorial quality is often not superior enough to draw away The Red & Black’s readers. The publication also offers multiple special sections that compete with the Banner-Herald’s special sections aimed at attracting football fans.

The newspaper penetrates its market extremely well; in a study done by Morris Communications Inc., it found that 63 percent of students read the publication and 45 percent of “townies” do the same, according to James E. Smith, vice- president of Research and Development for Morris Communications Inc.

“Forty-two percent of the (Banner-Herald’s) revenue comes from non-newspaper sources. It prints The Red & Black, which generates nice revenue and has little overhead for Morris,” Smith said in an interview. “We’ve discussed advertiser sharing agreements in the past, but Harry Montevideo – the publisher – baulked at the idea.”

c.       Circulation

Circulation in Athens RTZ:

Mon-Fri [semester] – 17,000; Weekly – 8,500 [summer]

(Circulation figures, The Red & Black 2007 Media Kit)

 

Market Penetration in Athens RTZ:

UGA Students – 63 percent; Athens Residents – 45 percent

(Market Penetration figures, Interview with James E. Smith, vice-president of Research and Development, Morris Communications Inc.)

 

d.      Five-Year Outlook

In five years The Red & Black will have the same market share it has now because of the natural limitations of its target market size, student enrollment at UGA. As it is, UGA students spend over $200 million a year on shopping, food and entertainment, according to The Red & Black 2007-2008 Media Kit.

If the Banner-Herald wants to maintain any significant amount of the youth market it is going to have to increase its effort to attract students editorially and/or create an advertising formula that guarantees this audience. The Banner-Herald’s recent redesign of its Living section was not an effort to accomplish this. Julie Phillips, arts and entertainment editor of the Banner-Herald, said in an interview that the changes were made mainly to accommodate the shrinking size of newsprint that the publication uses.

“The changes to the (printing) press took away a couple inches of print space; therefore, I tell my writers to keep that in mind when they’re reporting now. Stories have to become shorter and more ‘reader friendly’,” Phillips said.

Local Radio (alphabetical order)

(Sampling of broadcast companies that operate in the Athens-Clarke County coverage area)

 

1.     Brown Broadcasting (WBKZ 880 AM)

2.     Bible Broadcasting Network (WYFW 89.5 FM)

3.     CSN International (W201BJ 88.5 FM)

4.     Mecca Communications Inc. (WXAG 1470 AM)

5.     Prince Avenue Baptist Church (WMSL 88.9 FM)

6.     Southern Broadcasting Inc. (WGMG 102.1 FM, WPUP 103.7 FM, etc.)

7.     The University of Georgia (WUOG 90.5 FM, WUGA 91.7 FM)

Local radio competes with the Banner-Herald for advertising mainly. Listener segmentation is easier for broadcasting companies to accomplish than for a general newspaper like the Banner-Herald, so advertisers can achieve more efficient marketing – only getting their message to people they know would be interested in a cowboy boot sale, for instance.

Formats here are mainly religious, country music and top 40 in nature.

In five years, I think local radio broadcast will still be around; however, it will face more competition from internet-based stations.

Local Television

8.     CBS Television Network (WNEG-TV 32)

WNEG-TV 32 is not a major competitor because it is based in Toccoa, Ga. – about 50 miles away from Athens, Ga. – and concentrates its coverage there. It does have an advantage as far as television advertising goes, however, because it is the only non-Atlanta-metro station in Northeast Georgia.

In five years, I think this station will grow in professionalism and advertising power because of the aforementioned “urban sprawl” drawing people north of Atlanta. This factor will make it harder for the Banner-Herald to make a case for itself in the eyes of local advertisers, but it still will not be a top concern.  

Online (alphabetical order)

1.     AccessNorthGa.com

2.     Athens Exchange

3.     Craigslist

4.     Facebook

5.     MainStreetNews.com

All online sites are significant advertising threats. Craigslist and similar sites has taken away classified advertising revenue over the past few years. Facebook has captured the youth market. However, the Banner-Herald can retain its standing with strong editorial content and reporting that online sources cannot provide.

Other (alphabetical order)

1.     Athena   Athens Magazine competition

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Bi-Monthly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Women Lifestyle/Fashion and Entertainment

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free/ $12/yr

                                                                      iv.      Walsh Publishing, Inc.

b.      Circulation

Circulation in Athens RTZ: Bi-Monthly – 5,000-7,000

(Circulation figure, Athena Summer 2008 Rate Card)

 

2.     Athens Parent

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Bi-Monthly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Parent Lifestyle/Education and Hobbies

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Walsh Publishing, Inc.

b.      Circulation

Circulation in Athens RTZ: Bi-Monthly – 13,000

(Circulation figure, Athens Parent Magazine 2006 Media Kit)

 

3.     Direct Marketing

4.     Flagpole Magazine

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Weekly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Alternative/ Music and Entertainment

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free/ $55/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Flagpole, Inc.

b.      Analysis

Flagpole Magazine is the Banner-Herald’s number one competitor for local music and entertainment coverage. It is an alternative weekly that offers political commentary, drink specials and band information. It attracts about 50 percent students and 50 percent townspeople. Because it is liberal and readers know that they can expect the viewpoint, Flagpole can afford to be “racier” than the Banner-Herald in its coverage and advertising – and it does.

Digitally, the publication is behind the times. The Banner-Herald has a clear advantage over Flagpole in that area. Pete McCommons, publisher editor of Flagpole, said the publication’s technological capabilities and aging staff are what are holding it back.

“In the future, we will probably still be a tabloid-size weekly, but we will also be an up-to-date digital daily. We’re going to have to do it if we want to stay relevant. That’s just it,” McCommons said.  

c.       Circulation

Circulation in Athens RTZ: Weekly – 17,000

(Circulation figure, Flagpole Magazine)

 

d.      Five-Year Outlook

Without serious change, in five years the Flagpole will not be as strong as a competitor as it is today. Stomp and Stammer, a fairly new publication based in Atlanta, is moving in on its print niche market in Athens and Facebook and MySpace are making communicating about parties and concerts almost instantaneous – online. Half of its original reader-base, townspeople, is getting older and the other half is turning to alternative sources for its information. Flagpole will still be competition, but I doubt its content and function will be as relevant.

5.     Lake Oconee Living Athens Magazine competition

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Monthly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Retirement Lifestyle

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: n/a/ $17/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Mainstreet Communications, Inc.

b.      Circulation

Circulation in Athens area: Monthly – limited Athens distribution

(Circulation figure, Lake Oconee Living Current Rate Card)

 

6.     Southern Distinction                    Athens Magazine competition

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Monthly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Southern Lifestyle

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: n/a/ $24.95/yr

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Southern Distinction

b.      Circulation

Circulation in Athens area: Monthly – 6,000

(Circulation figure, Southern Distinction website)

 

7.      Stomp and Stammer

a.      Profile

                                                                          i.      Frequency: Monthly

                                                                        ii.      Type/Coverage: Alternative/ Music and Entertainment

                                                                      iii.      Cover Price/Subscription: free

                                                                      iv.      Owner: Funny Farm Press, Inc.

b.      Circulation

Total Circulation: Monthly – 16,000

(Circulation figure, Stomp and Stammer website)

8.      The Summit Agency (The Athens Real Estate Book, The Athens Apartment Finder, Wheels n’ Waves)

9.     Yellow Pages

Although it is difficult to pinpoint the revenue generated by direct marketing and free total market circulation publications, the impact is significant. Advertisers that may have spent money with the Banner-Herald in the past are now turning to alternative sources to satisfy their marketing needs.

Athens Magazine, on the other hand, competes in a totally different market space (see Positioning Map). It seems to be thriving as a product for affluent Athens-area residents, but it has multiple competitors that it must keep in mind as well.

Banner-Herald Top Competition Outlook

Current

Ø     Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Ø     The Red & Black

Ø     Flagpole Magazine

 

Five years from Now

Ø     Atlanta Journal-Constitution

Ø     The Red & Black

Ø     MainStreet Newspapers Inc./MainStreetNews.com